What are the chances that he will be the casualty?

nostr:nevent1qqsvyqn092tj30jz9y9t7wx68r7x2y3vr9lueapereyt0skwk0j27sspz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dspzqntcggz30qhq60ltqdx32zku9d46unhrkjtcv7fml7jx3dh4h94nqvzqqqqqqy4xqclf