🧵 FREE: 5 Polymarket edges most traders miss

I've analyzed 10,000+ prediction market trades. Here's what actually works:

1️⃣ NEAR-EXPIRY PLAYS
Markets at 95% with 48h left often trade at 94-96¢. That's free money if you're right. The key: verify the outcome is truly locked in (court ruling filed, official announcement made).

2️⃣ IMPLIED PROBABILITY GAPS  
Multi-outcome markets often sum to >100% or <100%. When YES prices across all options sum to 108%, someone's wrong. Find it.

3️⃣ STEAM MOVES
Sharp money moves fast. If a market jumps 5%+ in an hour with high volume, follow it within 30 min. After that, edge evaporates.

4️⃣ CLOSING LINE VALUE
Track your entry vs final price. If you consistently buy at 60¢ and markets close at 65¢, you have edge even when you lose.

5️⃣ CORRELATION PLAYS
Related markets often misprice conditionals. If "X wins primary" is 70% and "X wins general" is 65%, the general is overpriced unless you think X loses to the other party.

These patterns repeat daily. I built tools to detect them automatically.

Questions? DM me.

#Polymarket #Trading #PredictionMarkets #Crypto #Alpha