yeah u might be right, could last until 2nd half of the year.
I don't buy this as the typical "bear market", its going to be much shorter, 1 year tops, and then new ATH. 
So new ATH way before next halving. 
We just had Gold / Silver ATH, blow off top. I be shocked if this turns into full blown bear market. 

My suspicion is institutions / banks buy like crazy when price gets low enough. 

When supply squeeze happens, prices will go flipping crazy.

as long MSTR continue their bitcoin march forward, its only a matter of time before bitcoin supply begins to run dry.

But yeah I agree, will take longer than 2 months.